21 Apr 2007

Kevin Rudd Just Won the Next Election

Well, that's it, it's all over bar the shouting. Kevin Rudd will be Australia's next PM:
Media Mogul Rupert Murdoch has endorsed Labor leader Kevin Rudd, saying he would make a good Australian prime minister.

Mr Rudd met for a one-hour private meeting with Mr Murdoch at the News Corporation's New York headquarters but the meeting was extended when the pair decided to have dinner together at a local restaurant.

Channel Seven reported that when asked if Mr Rudd would make a good prime minister, Mr Murdoch replied "Oh, I'm sure."
Channel 7 showed a beaming Mr Murdoch striding across the forecourt of his News Ltd HQ with young Kev, also smiling nervously, in tow a few paces behind.

Murdoch's remarks were very short, and most TV viewers would discount this as just a polite response to an expected question. But Murdoch knows how power works. You don't give Rudd a free dinner, a photo shoot, a nod and a wink for nothing.

The cameras and microphones were nearly all aimed at Murdoch, of course. These press boys know how things work.
Mr Murdoch has previously given his public support of world leaders who went on to win their elections, including Britain's Margaret Thatcher and Tony Blair and US President George W. Bush.

He also has been a supporter of Prime Minister John Howard but would not say if Mr Howard should step aside.

"We'll have to see and make a judgment at the end of the year," he said.
Howard is toast. As Josh Marshall might say, put a fork in him.

Now get out the popcorn, if you so wish. Watch the editors at The Murdoch Australian fall over themselves trying to reverse their positions on Rudd. Watch for some trenchant, biting criticism of Howard from unexpected "expert opinion" corners. Watch for mounting Coalition leadership speculation. Watch Howard's big bottom lip start to tremble, the sweat beading on his brow, the angry little eyes flitting to and fro, bursting with barely supressed ire behind his bloodied bifocals.

Or just switch off your TVs and wait till the whole stupid show is over and done with.

UPDATE: Murdoch was "firm" when dismissing speculation that Howard should have handed over to Costello. So who will it be? The "murmurings" have already begun:
Confidants of Mr Howard said the murmurings, sparked by backbenchers spooked by Labor leader Kevin Rudd's extended political honeymoon, was completely unfounded.

"He has no intention of resigning or retiring," said an informed Government source...

One senior backbencher outlined a scenario in which Mr Howard would step aside in May, after Mr Costello delivered his 12th budget. The Liberals' national conference in early June would then become a farewell tribute to the Prime Minister, the MP said, and kick-start a Costello-led charge to the polls.

The MP said the fear in some marginal electorates was that voters had stopped listening to the Prime Minister and it would take something "radical" like swapping to Mr Costello to switch them back onto the Liberal message. A few MPs expressed concern that Mr Howard appeared to have lost his political touch.
Howard's boys are insisting he has nipped speculation in the bud, and he isn't going anywhere. Popcorn, anyone?

I am changing the title of this blog from Howard Out (originally it was going to be a campaign blog, but it's not much of a campaign when Howard still trails by 20 points) to Howard Death Watch. I will make a similar change at my Bush Out blog, and hopefully spend more time blogging at Riding the Juggernaut.

19 Apr 2007

Howard and Costello: Shameless Global Warming Wankers

Oh. My God. etc.

Peter Costello is a frikkin' shameless asswipe:
"The point I'm making is we have to work to bring emitters like China, the US, India, those countries that really do matter in relation to global warming into the system, otherwise it's a futile activity."
Only one other major industrial country in the world has supported the USA in it's refusal to ratify the Kyoto Treaty, Pete. Can you guess which one it was? Let me refer you to an old wikipedia entry:
Australian Prime Minister, John Howard, has refused to ratify the Agreement and has argued that the protocol would cost Australians jobs, due to countries with booming economies and massive populations such as China and India not having any reduction obligations.
Oh yeah, Pete, I guess "countries with booming economies and massive populations" would include the USA as well, wouldn't it?!

In fact:
The United States was, as of 2005, the largest single emitter of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels. China is projected to take over at the top of the table by 2010.
But surely that has nothing to do with us, right Pete? Or maybe...?
As of 2005, Australia was the world's largest emitter per capita of greenhouse gases.
Oh my Gawd!!! How did we ever get into this predicament????!!!

God, seriously mate, what did I do to deserve to live to see these days? This morning I woke up to read that John W. Howard, after a decade of pretending that human-created contributions to global warming were an ABC media conspiracy and/or an illusion (and global warming itself was too) has now urged all Australians to "pray for rain" in order to save our nation's most important water system.

Smite them down, God. Please! Now!

18 Apr 2007

Keeping Things In Perspective

Thank God for humour:
Why not just round these flying rats up in a big net? Surely the council could find some practical use, for example setting up a tasty pigeon pie stall in the centre of town. I for one would be grateful to see these horrific beasts removed from the Royal borough altogether! They are a nuisance, and also the flying wizards of Satan. There, I've said it.
Follow the link and check out the comments. Hilarious.

Cricket Terrorist Conspiracy Acceleration Distortion

If you had any idea what democracy means and what your country has done, you’d be down on your knees begging God to forgive you every day for the rest of your life.
- Qetesh the Shaved Abyssinian
Anyone who knows that the CORIOLIS EFFECT is deserves Big Respect. So lemme hear you say YEAH for da bomb, el muy estimado Winter Patriot.

Click the frikkin' link or I will bite you.

17 Apr 2007

Murder: It's A Professional Career

I was rather surprised last week when Eric Martin, normally an intelligent US contributor to Ozblogistan, came out with this nonsense post in defence of US soldier Mario Lozano, the man who opened fire on the airport-bound car of former Iraq hostage and Italian newspaper journalist Giuliana Sgrena.

Martin implied that domestic politics in Rome are the main reason why an Italian court is today putting Lozano on trial in absentia for murder. He suggests that the Italian court will not be impartial, and throws his support behind a US Army enquiry which has already found Lozano innocent of any wrongdoing.

Martin completely fails to mention that the US and Italian governments have wildly divergent versions of exactly what happened that day:
The United States says Sgrena's vehicle was moving at least 50 mph, while Italy says that it was closer to 30 - and that it stopped before being fired upon.

The United States says there were warnings, but Sgrena has denied this, saying the flashing lights and bullets - 58, she said, quoting Italian investigators - came simultaneously.
The quote above comes from a New York Post story (highly sympathetic to Lozano) from which Martin otherwise quotes copiously. Strange how Eric missed that. Maybe it had something to do with his big night at "the Armory" farewelling a close friend from the Fightin' 69th?

It is worth noting here that the Italian case against Lozano is not a witch-hunt aimed at stringing him up, but an attempt to get a full explanation about the circumstances surrounding this tragedy, which have been hushed up by the US Military. And that in turn is likely to lead to a fuller disclosure of the unhealthy links between the Bush and Berlusconi governments, and the lies that got us into this war in the first place. For example, that “16 words” Yellowgate intelligence hoax was originally sourced by Italian intelligence, with whom US neocons like Michael Ledeen have strong ties.

Putting himself in Lozano's shoes, Eric Martin says he would have done exactly the same thing:
Let me tell you, if my finger is on the trigger (or thumbs in the instance of a .50 cal IIRC), I would opt for the occupants of the car just about every time.

I wouldn’t do so without remorse, but that’s war. And that’s human nature. To expect our soldiers - aware of the numerous attacks from Vehicle Borne Explosive Devices (VBEDS) at such checkpoints - to behave any other way is as unrealistic as it is dangerous for them. Our soldiers deserve the benefit of the doubt in such matters.
Note the cool reference to V-beds. I bet he got that one from the Armory.

Martin says soldiers "don’t have a choice, and a system that would give soldiers a choice would be a system that eats itself".

They do have a choice, and they must have a choice. They are of course human beings. The idea that they do not have a choice is just an illusion drilled into them with training. It is also a comfortable illusion for those who plot and plan wars on paper (or even blogs). And, as modern history shows quite clearly, the military system actually DOES "eat itself", leading to ever more wars, death and suffering, albeit supposedly in defence of those disinterested civilians who always become the most widespread victims.

Eric Martin seems to think that such carnage is inevitable due to the limitations of our "human nature", and therefore must be endured. But surely human nature can and must rise above such barbarity?

We, the people of this world, should urgently be working to terminate military spending and stop the industrial production of weaponry all over the globe. We need to genuinely commit ourselves and our govermnets to the moral principles which we so loudly proclaim.

We, who still enjoy something close to democracy, need to hold our War Criminal governments responsible for the Iraq War outrage. And we need to start by re-committing ourselves to upholding the visionary post-WWII International Laws which basically provide a hard-earned blueprint for lasting peace on Earth.

The governments who led this illegal invasion have done their best to delegitimize the UN, the International Criminal Court and any other international laws and treaties that might embarrass or restrict them. A fully-supported ICC in particular would go a long way - in the long run - to ensuring that future despots like Saddam and Kim Jong-Il (even Bush, Blair and Howard) are contained before they can do too much damage. It would even - I venture to say - help ensure that atrocities like Rwanda and Darfur are nipped in the bud.

The time is now. We, the people, need to start looking upon our bloated military forces as murdering, anachronistic, counter-productive and wasteful.

Does that sound harsh? Well, ask yourself this: how did Lozano get himself into that dreadful situation in the first place?

When you sign up with the armed forces, you are agreeing to kill people, on order, without question. That’s the deal.

Soldiers are trained to not think independently. The orders in Iraq are to shoot first and ask questions later. Lozano did exactly as he was trained and ordered to do. But that does not make it right. The only soldiers who have acquitted themselves admirably in Iraq are those who have refused to go there, or those who have deserted. The rest are no better than the paid Blackwater mercenaries with whom they nightly down brews in the Green Zone.

Pro-military windbags in the mainstream media have decried Australia's David Hicks as a stupid, gun-loving idiot who foolishly got himself into a situation where he was (knowingly or not) supporting terrorist violence. Every one of our soldiers in Iraq is just as bad, if not worse, and open to exactly the same criticism. I have no sympathy for any of them. Support the troops? Not me, mate.

It is the soldiers like Ehren Watada who are showing real courage in this war. Not self-pitying fools like Lozano.

Lozano’s checkpoint was just one of many. Nicola Calipari’s death was just one more civilian death in a bloody war that intentionally and repeatedly targets civilians.

That's right.

The US military has already paid out $US32 million to civilians in Iraq for wrongful deaths and injuries. Another million has gone to citizens of Afghanistan. The figure rose from $5 million in 2004 to almost $20 million in 2006. That’s a heck of a lot of collateral damage!

E&P's Greg Mitchell provides some examples from the US Army’s own records, including this one:
“Claimant’s son and a friend were fishing, in a small boat, 15 kilometers north of Tikrit on the Tigres river at 2200 hours on 31 March 2005. The claimant and his son had fished the Tigres many nights recently, but the father did not join his son this night. U.S. Forces helicopters were flying overhead, like they usually did and there were no problems.

“A U.S. Forces HMMWV patrol pulled up to the beach near where they were fishing. The patrol had spotted and destroyed a boat earlier in the evening that had an RPG in it. They set off an illumination round and then opened fre. The claimant’s only son was shot and killed. His friend was injured, but managed to get the boat to the other side of the river. At the small village across the river they received medical help and were taken to the hospital. But, it was too late for the claimant’s son.

“The claimant and his son were huge supporters of democracy and up to this day held meetings and taught there friends about democracy. The claimant provided two witness statements, medical records, a death certificate, photographs and a scene sketch, all of which supported his claim.

“Opinion: There is sufficient evidence to indicate that U.S. Forces intentionally killed the claimant’s son. Unfortunately, those forces were involved in security operations at the time. Therefore, this case falls within the combat exception.”
The policy in Iraq is intentionally deadly to civilians, and the US military policy at these checkpoints is a big part of that.
It is widely acknowledged that the US “rules of engagement” for these checkpoints contravene the Geneva convention. Even British military commanders have said so. Of course, it makes no sense if the real goal is to win over the “hearts and minds” of Iraqis and spread true democracy. But clearly that is not now and never was the true goal of the invasion.

The whole point of the Iraq invasion is not to militarily defeat an enemy force, but to subjugate the civilian population. Why? Because this is the only way that Cheney’s Big Oil friends will be able to exploit Iraq’s oil resources. The US military’s relentless over-the-top violence is no more an accident than the torture used at Abu Ghraib and elsewhere.

Again, what’s the point of killing innocent people, making blood enemies and destroying any moral prestige you may have had, if your real goal is to bring democratic peace to the region? US grunts on the ground in Iraq treat the locals as “untermenschen” and are quite happy to kill as many of them as necessary, innocent or not, just to ensure that they get their own sorry asses back to their flatscreen TVs in Iowa.

If Lozano was justified in killing an innocent non-combatant then all other soldiers in Iraq are also justified in their killings, even of innocents. And by the same logic, I suppose, the Iraqi resistance fighters are also justified in their killing, even of innocents. And certainly they are justified in their killing of the soldiers who have killed their families and destroyed their houses. No? So where does it all end? Where do YOU draw the line?

Eric’s argument boils down to the Jack Nicholson Defense. T whit: Lucky pacifists like me, whose taxpayer dollars fund the globalized corporate war machine, and for whom our galant heroes in uniform systematically slaughter innocent people, are “afforded the luxury of staying above the fray”. Any discomfort that may cause is just “aloofness”.

Martin's attitude is of course highly prevelant in society, particularly among soldiers themselves:
“On several occasions,” Giammatteo said, “I, and others I have spoken to, felt that we were being judged as if we chose our nation’s foreign policy and, as a result, received little if any assistance.”
Of course, soldiers do not get to choose their nation’s foreign policy any more than you or I do. But they do get to implement it, personally, when a war is declared. That, after all, is the whole purposes of the Armed Forces. And if they are not prepared to implement their government’s policies, whatever government may be in power, and whatever policies they may adopt, then they should not enlist.

The US Army has now acknowledged that the U.S. military had a policy of shooting approaching civilians in South Korea. Back then, the US military would have been bloody ashamed to admit it had a policy of shooting civilians, now it boasts that such a policy is not only necessary but in fact moral.

The targetting of civilians is also widespread today in Afghanistan.:
American marines reacted to a bomb ambush with excessive force in eastern Afghanistan last month, hitting groups of bystanders and vehicles with machine-gun fire in a series of attacks that covered 10 miles of highway and left 12 civilians dead, including an infant and three elderly men, according to a report published by an Afghan human rights commission on Saturday…

One victim, a 16-year-old newly married girl, was cut down while she was carrying a bundle of grass to her family’s farmhouse, according to her family and the report. A 75-year-old man walking to his shop was hit by so many bullets that his son said he did not recognize the body when he came to the scene...

The deputy director of the human rights commission, Nader Nadery, warned that attacks like the highway shooting had greatly contributed to outrage in Afghanistan, contradicting efforts by coalition forces to win people’s support away from the Taliban. “This is not an isolated case” he said. “People are realizing more that they are a victim of the conflict from both sides, from the Taliban and from the international operations.”
Mind you, such policies are hardly surprising given that the architects of this war are pople like Juan “Honduran Death Squads” Negroponte and Iyad “CIA destablisation of Saddam through bombing of civilicans” Allawi. Incidentally, Lozano’s checkpoint was only there to protect the passage of a Negroponte convey.

The military sucks. Soldiers suck. War sucks. It is an immoral, disgraceful, money-sucking farce.

We will never stop wars like Iraq from happening again and again around the globe if even anti-war activists continue to insist that soldiers are brave and honourable, and killings like Lozano's are not only justifiable, but in fact acts of bravery and honour.

Lozano outraged Calipari's family by speaking to the US press but refusing to attend the trial in Italy. Now his lawyer has further outraged them:
Mr Lozano's lawyer, Alberto Biffani, said his client had no formal knowledge of the trial proceedings.

Lawyer Franco Coppi called that statement "an insult" and accused Mr Lozano of "a form of arrogance".
It sure doesn't look like Lozano is trying to be very co-operative, does it? Not much sign of repentance either.

The US military is also refusing to coperate with a British investigation into a March 2003 crash which killed 12 soldiers. And so it goes...

When it comes to lies, stalling and even threats, the US Military has lots and lots of form:
The US military at first reported that the Iraqis, among them seven women and three children, had died in the bomb blast and subsequent firefight, but later said that was incorrect.

There was no full US investigation into what happened until three months after the event when video footage taken by a local human rights activist of the aftermath reached Time Magazine.

Once their report showed flaws in the initial marine statement, an investigation began.
24 Iraqis, including 11 women and children, died that day in Haditha. A year and a half later, a military judge is still trying to decide if there is enough evidence to convene a court martial.

And of course those well-paid ex-soldiers are also enjoying the killing spree in Iraq:
Isireli Naucukidi who was part of the group with 3 former US soldiers said their leader, Jacob Washbourne shot a 70 year old Iraqi taxi driver at point blank range as target practice and then laughed with the other two American soldiers after being told that it was a "NICE SHOT".


The BBC's John Simpson unfortunately echoes Eric Martin's "don't blame the soldiers" meme, but has some illuminating observations nonetheless:
The killing of Nicola Calipari was only a better publicised example of what usually happens when American soldiers kill someone by accident - there is a brief internal enquiry, which tends to find that the action was justified. End of story.

Some of the worst "friendly fire" cases of the 2003 invasion were never properly investigated. The killing of the British ITV television team, headed by the distinguished reporter Terry Lloyd, for instance.

When 18 people, including my Kurdish translator, were killed in a bombing incident during the invasion, we were assured that a proper investigation would be held.

Nothing more has ever been heard about it

If American soldiers, understandably nervous and rarely trained for the job of patrolling foreign streets, know that even if they kill a man as prominent as Nicola Calipari, nothing will happen to them, it is scarcely much of an incentive to be careful.

The British army learned a difficult and sometimes painful lesson in Northern Ireland about operating successfully in a hostile environment.

Holding ordinary soldiers, the unfortunate grunts on the front line, to account for what they do is a part of it.

But there has to be a change of attitude at the top as well.
More specifically:
There was a time when the British army behaved like that in Northern Ireland: jittery, resentful, too quick to fire, an easy target.

Thirty-five years ago, in Belfast and Derry, I saw British soldiers behaving just as aggressively towards local people as the Americans do in Iraq.
Aftermath of suicide car bomb attack
Checkpoints have been targeted by suicide bombers

That was before it dawned on the British army that if they treated every passer-by as an enemy, it wouldn't be long before every passer-by was an enemy.

The army's eventual success against the IRA in Northern Ireland owed a great deal to this basic change of attitude.

Damn! I Should Have Moved To Argentina Two Years Ago When I Sold My House

New poll shows Aussies are behind global anti-US zeitgeist... but we still don't trust the USA one bit:
Fifty-nine per cent of Australians surveyed said they trusted the US either a "great deal" or "somewhat" and the Philippines, Israel and Poland were the other staunch supporters with 85, 81 and 59 per cent respectively.

But 40 per cent of Australians answered "not at all" or "not very much" when asked how much they trusted the US "to act responsibly in the world".

But 80 per cent of Australians think the US takes on the role of international enforcer more than it should, agreeing with three out of four Americans.

Globally, the majority of respondents answered "not at all" or "not very much" when asked how much they trusted the US "to act responsibly in the world".

Eighty-four per cent of Argentinians answered "not at all" or "not very much" as did 80 per cent of Peruvians.
I think this reinforces exactly what I and many other anti-Bush bloggers have been saying for years, that the USA has been taken over by a relatively small cabal of shameless, currupt fools intent on personal profit. These people are determined to hold onto power at any expense. They will drag down the US Constitution, International Law and any other obstacles that stand in their way, whatever the cost, if they can possibly get away with it.

I'll give you a Sri Lankan and a Rohingya for 2 Cubans

How crazy is this?
Asylum seekers detained on Nauru would be taken to the US and Cuban refugees held at Guantanamo Bay resettled in Australia under a new detainee exchange scheme.
What on earth is the point of that? The only logical reason is pure political expediency. Howard and Bush are just swapping refugee problems. Bush can say he has solved the Cuban refugee problem, Howard can say his Nauru detention facilities have a great clearance rate, but none of them are getting into the Great White Land.

And of course, as usual, we taxpayers will be picking up the bill for the transport of this human fodder.

UPDATE: Checking out the Oz Politics blog, I noticed that Tim Dunlop had followed up this post with a similar one at News Ltd (not the first time Tim has been a few hours behind me). Tim was baffled:
I don’t understand this new deal [Howard] has done with the United States about asylum seekers.
Breaking my vow never, ever to visit News Ltd sites (but there are so MANY of them!!!!) I went to see if Tim had any idea what was going on.

He could only see half the story, so I helped him out. Still he didn't get it. So I helped him out a little more:
Of course it does not "solve" the real Cuban refugee problem for the USA, it merely helps solve the political problem of Cuban refugees (a big issue in US politics, as you know) by allowing the Bush GOP to point to some statistics which are sure to be cleverly manipulated by November 2008.

It's not about pointing to positives, it's about negating the negatives. Bush's GOP and Howard's Liberals both have enough problems on their hands without the seemingingly-intractible dramas of Cuba and Naura.

This is a radical solution to a relatively minor issue. It may look over-the-top to the casual observer, but the architects of this madness are now quite desperate people.
But that's enough, I think. The foul taste of Rupert excrement hangs in my nostrils.

I have had enough of Tim's old Road To Surfdom blog, too. I wasn't going to comment there any more, but then I saw a rather surprising pro-military comment by the normally intelligent Eric Martin and I just couldn't help myself.

Enough. Life is too short. The internets are big, and blogs are many, or so I hear. I shall go a-wandering...

Adios, Tim Dunlop. I hope you escape your News Ltd prison one day soon.

UPDATE 2: Tsk, tsk. Looks like Tim has banned/deleted my comment above (comments moderation is of course in place at Rupert Inc). Presumably he will justify it by saying I used the pseudonym "harper" instead of the equally anonymous pseudonym "gandhi". Maybe I should have called myself "Billy Bob Smith"?

Also interesting is that Kevin Rudd is pretending not to understand what this is all about. But Greens senator Kerry Nettle gets it:
"This is about political mates helping each other out," she said.

"Immigration issues in Australia and in the United States have been issues that conservative governments have sought to stand up on and they're now helping each other out.

"It's nothing more than a political fix in the lead-up to the election campaign."
That help, Tim?

BushWorld: A Culture Of Violence

It's not just university campuses and shopping malls, there are also guns going off in the White House:
Two Secret Service officers were injured after a gun held by another Secret Service officer accidentally fired inside the White House gate, according to a spokesman, Darrin Blackford.
Unfortunately, Bush himself was nowhere near the building at the time. (That's a joke, Tim)

As for the Virginia campus shootings, the main issue over the past 24 hours seems to have been whether the shooter was some white redneck wingnut (as many first assumed), or a Chinese student on a one-year student visa (as was early reported), or (as it turns out) a South Korean who had been in the USA since the age of 8.

Not that it matters, right? Mind you, as Kevin Drum says:
When stuff like this happens, people like to talk. And when they talk, they talk about all sorts of stuff. They're just being human.
But a lot of people probably got egg on their faces trying to hang their prejudices on this hook.

This stuff from a former classmate was pretty illuminating:
"When I first heard about the multiple shootings at Virginia Tech yesterday, my first thought was about my friends, and my second thought was 'I bet it was Seung Cho."

Back at school, he added, "When we read Cho’s plays, it was like something out of a nightmare. The plays had really twisted, macabre violence that used weapons I wouldn’t have even thought of. Before Cho got to class that day, we students were talking to each other with serious worry about whether he could be a school shooter. I was even thinking of scenarios of what I would do in case he did come in with a gun, I was that freaked out about him. When the students gave reviews of his play in class, we were very careful with our words in case he decided to snap. Even the professor didn’t pressure him to give closing comments."

Informed Comment On Israel

Juan Cole has some informed advice for Australians:
Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, speaking in Australia, said he left it to Australia and the US whether to withdraw from Iraq or not. He said that he did want to stress that if the US and Australia withdrew, they should do so in such a way as to retain their authority and preserve their gains in the region.

The problem with this advice is that it is impossible to follow it. Any US withdrawal from Iraq will inevitably affect its prestige. But then, the quagmire is a daily reminder to everyone in the region of the limits of US power.

Olmert made a big deal about 'living in the region' and therefore 'knowing something of its dynamics.' I think his war on Lebanon last summer demonstrates the falsity of the latter claim, and my advice to Canberra would be pretty much to keep his track record in mind. Even in Israel, he is at 14% in the polls.

Anyway, I think the implication of his statement, despite his beating around the bush, is that he doesn't relish a US and Australian withdrawal from Iraq because he thinks it will adversely affect Israeli security. Olmert doesn't understand regional dynamics and doesn't seem to see that the longer the US and its two remaining major allies in Iraq try to stay there, the worse the situation gets, which actually is the thing that is threatening to Israel.

The Belgian Minister of Defense has demanded that Israel pay for the clean-up of the 1 million cluster bombs Olmert ordered fired into south Lebanon, mostly in the last 3 days of the war last August. There was no military purpose to this act of vicious sabotage, and it was clearly a war crime. The goal was to injure Lebanese civilians returning to South Lebanon, and, since they largely support Hizbullah, to weaken that group in the south. Kudos to Andre Flahaut for daring stand up on this issue. Israeli politician Shimon Peres has admitted that deploying the cluster bombs was a "mistake."

So if the Australians know what is good for them, they won't pay too much attention to Olmert, perhaps the most inept prime minister Israel has ever had.
Ironically, while Olmert visits Australian, Aussie Jewish blogger Antony Loewenstein is promoting his book "My Israel Question" in Israel's leading newspaper.

16 Apr 2007

The Forgotten



The media have all but forgotten David Hicks already. And nobody is even talking about the other Gitmo detainees.

14 Apr 2007

Dead Soliders Vote Liberal In 08!

Howard has now virtually guaranteed that dead Aussie soldiers will be coming home from Afghanistan in the lead-up to the election. Kev Rudd will of course race to be at the airport an hour before the plane arrives (hopefully with the correct body on board), but Howard will be the man with the big, trembling bottom lip on all our TV screens, spouting pithy nonsense about what a glorious death our boys have died. Rudd will insist that their deaths were even more glorious that Howard said they were. The salivating media will lap it all up and chew over every detail of these glorious dead soldiers’ stories (bravery, heroism, and danger abounding) for day after day, week after week.

Rudd will try, hopelessly, to maintain his current distinction between the war in Afghanistan (good) and the war in Iraq (bad). But the distinction will become increasingly muddied, especially as other soldier’s mates and soldier’s wives come on TV with trembling bottom lips and angry words for anyone who dares question the bravery of every Digger who ever lived on this planet, ever.

So my question is: do you think the Australian public are really stupid enough to fall for this? And the answer, based on previous elections, is TOO BLOODY RIGHT THEY ARE. As Howard well knows.

The truth is that whatever moral justification our military might once have professed for entering Afghanistan is long gone, and our troops are now doing no more good there than in Iraq. They should be withdrawn. If there really is a military job to be done there (as I know many here would argue, presumably calling it “peace-making”) then we should be leaving it to other countries with a bettter track record in the region.

Sure the Taliban were an evil mob, and sure they harboured bin Laden. But the Taleban today are resurgent, thanks largely to our own government’s short-sighted, greedy, thrify and basically incompetent efforts. How many of those joining the Taleban today are motivated by the “collateral damage” death of a loved one, or by the horrendous scenes coming out of Baghdad?

Remember, Bush refused the Taliban’s offer to hand over bin Laden, who was of course trained by the CIA, and whose family has close ties to the Bush’s. And the US-led military has been blowing wads of taxpayer dollars in Afghanistan for many years now with very, very, VERY little to show for it. In fact, much of what they point to as “success” has involved hushed deals with barbaric local warlords who continue ruling their feifdoms the same as they ever did.

So from any ordinary Afghan’s point of view, who are the good guys? Nobody. You throw your money in – if you have to – with whichever side you think is winning. Moral high ground? Pull the other one, mate. Aussie troops are brave heros dying to bring you Democracy, peace and an end to female genital circumcision? Sure, whatever you say. Wanna buy some hasheesh?

Then there is the little matter of those oil pipelines...

Nota bene: this post was cross-posted from my comment at Road to Surdom on a thread which has brought this and some related issues to the fore. For the critics: I am not cross-posting from my blog TO RTS, but vice versa, as I have often done in the past but am not likely to do in the future.

12 Apr 2007

Boom! Brendan Nelson Surges Into Action

Did you hear the one about the suicide bomber who strolls into the heart of the Green Zone? It's a cracker! But it could have been even worse:
The parliament security officials, who spoke Thursday on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to release the information, said two satchel bombs also were found in the parliament building near the dining hall. A U.S. military bomb squad took the explosives away and detonated them without incident, the officials said.
Insurgents also destroyed a key Baghdad bridge, tossing cars into the river and killing at least ten people, and there are rumours of two US helicopters being shot down. Meanwhile Turkey has started attacking Kurds in Iraq's north. And that Algerian terrorist blast has now claimed at least 24 lives. And a new British study blames Bush, Blair and their blind devotees in the GWOT for inciting such horrific violence around the globe.

But never fear, folks! Brendan "Boy Genius" Nelson is still focussed on "the job", whatever it is (his boss still won't tell us):
"Whilst it's disappointing that this kind of thing could occur in the middle of a security crackdown, it will only strengthen our resolve to see the job through," Dr Nelson told ABC Radio.

"It also reflects the fact that perhaps there are some people within the Iraqi security forces that have been infiltrated by insurgents and terrorist organisations."
No!!! You think so, Brendan? Really?

So I guess we won't see George Dubya handing out plastic turkeys in that cafeteria anytime soon! In fact, John McCain's pleasant stroll down the boulevardes of Baghdad might be the last Western political visit Iraqis see for a while... Unless they are going really, really, really bad in the polls!

Mind you, if you really want to target Iraq's wandering semi-exiled vacation-loving politicians, the last place you are likely to find them is actually inside the Iraqi parliament. Iraq's PM expressed his outrage... from South Korea. Following Brendan Nelson's courageous lead, al-Maliki is also demanding a full enquiry.

Yeah, right... that'll teach 'em. Another big enquiry, at huge public expense, with lots of committees accusing each other of bias, and a draft report that can be closely scrutinied by the Higher Ups before it is selectively leaked to the press on a Friday afternoon. That'll teach those Al Quaeda bastards!

Meanwhile, the black helicopters are already buzzing Sydney...

UPDATE:
And I thought young Nelson was the genius! John "Little Man Genius" Howard actually saw this attack coming:
"It was not only lethal, horrific and cowardly but also very symbolic but this had to be expected," he said on Southern Cross Radio.

"This surge has got to be broken and be made a failure if the terrorists are to win in Iraq and they know what's at stake.

"They know this surge, if it works, could represent a turning point."
Oh, God, please save us all from any more "turning points"! On the assumption that Australia is about six months out from a federal election, I would guesstimate that one Howard Unit is roughly equal to one F.U.
Atrios introduced the neologism Friedman as a unit of time (six months). The term was coined in reference to the discovery by Fairness and Accuracy in Reporting of journalist Thomas Friedman's repeated use of "the next six months" as the time period in which, according to Friedman, "we're going to find out...whether a decent outcome is possible" in the Iraq War.
And of course, just to channel Kevin Rudd for a moment (brrr!), if this "turning point" in Iraq is so important, why are we sending more troops into Kabul, not Baghdad?

11 Apr 2007

Howard's Latest Election Ploy: Throwing Fresh Aussie Meat To The Taleban

The BBC today highlights the fact that Australia's sudden increase in troops for Afghanistan is totally out-of-step with our cautious mostly-NATO-commanded allies:
The Australian plan to nearly double its forces in Afghanistan, to about 1,000, again illustrates the division between the countries that are willing to fight against the Taleban and those that hold back.

Significantly, the deployment will include many more special forces. The province where the Australians are based, Uruzgan, is expected to be the scene of increased fighting...

The main forces are the Americans (12,000 in Isaf, with another 8,000 under their own national command), the British (going up to 7,700 soon), the Canadians (2,500), the Dutch (2,100), the Poles (who reinforced earlier this year to 1000) and the Australians (going up to 1,000 by 2009).

There are also fighting forces from Denmark, Estonia and Romania.
Many nations who participate have included legal caveats blocking their troops from engaging in areas where heavy fighting is expected. No doubt Australia has a few of our own caveats in place, hence the minimal casualties to date.

But now all of a sudden PM John Winston Howard has just thrown our Special Operations Task Group into one of the bloodiest areas. Howard is earnestly warning the Australian public to expect casualties:
"All of the intelligence advice suggests that there is a heightened security risk. There is the distinct possibility of casualties and that should be understood and prepared for by the Australian public."
He provides no explanation for why Australia has twice withdrawn troops beforehand, of course.
In late 2002 there was only one Australian soldier in the country.
History is bunk, dude!

All this has nothing whatsoever to do with the fact that an election is looming, of course. It surely has even less to do with the fact that Howard is way, way behind in the polls.

Of course, a few Australian casualties in Afghanistan, with super-saturated Murdoch media coverage, might possibly help Howard take the moral high ground in defending his controversial "anti-terrorist" deployment to Iraq, but once again I say: this has nothing to do with the coming elections.

And of course, a few highly-publicized Australian soldiers' deaths in Afghanistan would be the perfect "wedge" opportunity for a PM who has mastered the art of over-simplification for the unwashed masses: DO YOU SUPPORT OUR TROOPS OR DON'T YOU?
The Opposition Leader, Kevin Rudd, supported the deployment yesterday but remained opposed to Australia's presence in Iraq.

"Afghanistan involves a continued military campaign against Osama bin Laden and the Taliban, the people responsible directly for September 11 [2001]," he said. "It's a military campaign which we need to prosecute to the end."

He said it was different to Iraq, which was chiefly a civil war between Sunni and Shiite factions of Islam, necessitating a political solution rather than a military one.

The Prime Minister disagreed, saying there were terrorists in both countries and all needed to be defeated.
You see? Howard has already (repeatedly) tried to pin down the Labour opposition on this nonsensical issue, with very minimal success to date. The blood of our "heroes" will not doubt change the dynamics of the debate. How clever. How cynical. How fucking CRIMINAL.

Let's get real, folks. Anyone who dares to say that Mr Howard is cynically throwing Australian troops into an extremely dangerous situation purely to save his own sorry ass at the coming elections is totally out of order! M'kay?

And they are probably a whinging pacifist idealist to boot.

Bastards, I tell ya! Bastards!

10 Apr 2007

Global Economic Meltdown Looms

There were big smiles on Australian TVs last night as finance gurus enthused that the Aussie dollars was at a 17-year high against the US dollar. Why are these idiots smiling? The coming (and now inevitable) Doomsday for the Greenback will not be pleasant for anyone:
It is impossible to fully anticipate the effects of the falling dollar. The dollar is a currency unlike any other and it is the cornerstone of American power—political, economic and military. As the internationally-accepted reserve currency, it allows the Federal Reserve to control the global economic system by creating credit out of “thin air” and using fiat-scrip in the purchase of valuable manufactured goods and resources. This puts an unelected body of private bankers in charge of setting interest rates which directly affect the entire world.

Iraq has proven that the US military can no longer enforce dollar-hegemony through force of arms. New alliances are forming that are reshaping the geopolitical landscape and signal the emergence of a multi-polar world. The decline of the superpower-model can be directly attributed to the denominating of vital resources and commodities in foreign currencies. America is simply losing its grip on the sources of energy upon which all industrial economies depend. Iraq is the tipping point for America’s global dominance.

When foreign central banks abandon the greenback the present system will unwind and the “unitary” model of world order will abruptly end.
The only positive that will come of all this is an opportunity to change how the system works, remove the Big Money power-brokers from the political process, and create a more equitable system of global wealth. What are the chances that we, the people of this Earth, will seize that opportunity? Even as our entire planet overheats, human greed, fear and hatred are most likely going to dominate the post-crash landscape.

How bad will it get? How does this sound:
Grown men will weep and cry: "I'm sorry, kids, it wasn't meant to be like this!" Lifetimes of corporate servitude will be flushed away as homes are repossessed and middle class families are reduced to begging. Men with guns will roam the streets. Bizarre religious cults will flourish. Gangs will spring up among the homeless. Today's anarchy on the streets of Baghdad will be the model for Australian cities tomorrow.
Couldn't happen here? Let's wait and see...

UPDATE: The IMF - that prestigious body in the grip of US and European power elites - says everything is going great, although... um... perhaps not for the USA. Of course, they would say that, wouldn't they?
Under US and European domination since its inception towards the end of World War II, the IMF has traditionally been a lender of last resort to countries embroiled in financial crisis.

But 10 years after crisis swept through East Asian economies, the IMF is seen as barely relevant to fast-emerging powers like China...

"They’re rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic," said Mark Weisbrot, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, who argued that the IMF faces an inexorable loss of power.

"This is an institution that’s been controlled by the US for 60 years. They’re not going to give that up," he said.

Talk of an Asian monetary fund has revived, while Latin American countries are pressing ahead with their own multilateral lending initiative.

Meanwhile, a slew of countries like Argentina and Brazil have been paying off their IMF debts early, eager to escape the Washington institution’s economic tutelage.

And with world financial markets awash in private capital, all but the poorest countries have easy access to other sources of cash, a headache also for the IMF’s sister body, the World Bank.
Meanwhile Paul Wolfowitz is doing a heckuva job reforming that other noble pillar of international finance, the World Bank. Witness this:
Yesterday, bank staffers were stunned to see on their internal e-mail "kiosk" a blogger reporting that Wolfowitz's two aides, Robin Cleveland and Kevin Kellems, earn net salaries of about $250,000 and $240,000, respectively.

"What remains of the utmost importance to me," Wolfowitz wrote in his e-mail, "is the protection of the interests of this institution as a whole, and our need to remain focused on our agenda of helping the world's poor."
And this:
"How can the WB talk about governance when its president broke international legality with the Iraq war?" asked Mexican officials during a consultation process late last year, according to documents posted on the bank Web site.
Yes folks, it's true: the global economy is in the hands of self-deluding ideological fools like this, and we are heading over the frikkin' brink without a paddle, and the mainstream media and your government are all in cahoots with it, and nobody - nobody! - has any credibility left at all.

Except me, of course.

UPDATE: Bring on The Great American Catalyzing Event!!!

Alan Jones, Racist Fascist Hate-Monger

Further to my comments on blogs and talkback radio yesterday, the Australian Communications and Media Authority (ACMA) today says Alan Jones incited last year's racist violence at Cronulla beach:
ACMA's report focused on Jones' broadcasting of correspondence from listeners about tensions at Cronulla in the days before the December 11 riot.

It said while the comments were "presented for a purpose in the public interest, being discussion of factors contributing to unrest in Cronulla ... ACMA was not persuaded that the relevant comments were presented reasonably and in good faith"...

On December 7, Jones read on air a comment from a listener who recommended that bikie gangs confront "Lebanese thugs" at Cronulla train station.

"It would be worth the price of admission to watch these cowards scurry back onto the train for the return trip to their lairs," Jones read on air.

"And wouldn't it be brilliant if the whole event was captured on TV cameras and featured on the evening news so that we, their parents, family and friends can see who these bastards are."
The ACMA is yet to determine a penalty for Jones and his employer, Macquarie Radio Network. Jones is still facing a year in jail for naming on air a child witness in a murder trial. And, of course, the self-described "Mohammed Ali of 2UE" is still broadcasting his hate-filled middle-of-the-road Fascism for the amusement and profit of the deadshits and dickheads in the corporate world who provide the cash for his comments.

I'm still waiting for the program where Jones tearfully accuses former Governor-General Dr Peter Hollingworth of being the first to dick him as a child in some dirty Toowoomba public toilet. What on earth do they do to kids in that neck of the woods?

But of course it's the hate-filled bloggers you've gotta watch out for, isn't it?

Weez at M.G.K. has more, including this quote from Jones:
“I’m the person that’s led this charge here. Nobody wanted to know about North Cronulla, now it’s gathered to this.”
Anone wanna bet on Howard ensuring that his toothless government media watchdogs give Jones and 2GB a massive ripping bite in the arse for this? Anyone?

UPDATE: OK, nobody took the bet (wise HO readers), and now, just a few hours later, it's already too late:
"I am not going to get involved in comments on individual decisions, but let me say this; I think Alan Jones is an outstanding broadcaster," Mr Howard said.

"I don't think he's a person who encourages prejudice in the Australian community, not for one moment, but he is a person who articulates what a lot of people think," he said.
"What a lot of people think" is that immigrants are dangerous, every wee snippet of foreign language is totally suss, and John W. Howard is our last bastion against he invading hordes. "What a lot of people think" is ill-informed nonsense. But people like Alan Jones and John Winston Howard are out there reinforcing such xenophobic hysteria every day.

Jones' defense is that nobody who actually listened to his program has ever complained about his comments, so therefore this is obviously a personalised, political (ABC-driven, of course) leftwing agenda.

But Alan, you darling, gentle man... Why would any intelligent person ever listen to your inane, racist, pro-Howard, money-fuelled nonsense program? And why does John Howard rush to defend you? Was he also a Hollingworth victim? He was an altar boy till the age of 21, so I hear...

9 Apr 2007

Aussie Taxpayer's Fund Blood Money For Iraq

Tsk, tsk, just look what they are doing with my hard-earned cash:
DOZENS of Iraqi citizens have received secret compensation payments of up to $90,000 each from the Federal Government after claiming personal harm or hardship caused by Australian soldiers.

Australian taxpayers have funded at least 45 amounts - usually paid in wads of US dollars - out of respect for what the Defence Department describes as an "eye-for-an-eye culture".

In total, $266,681 of taxpayers' money has been paid out to Iraqi civilians in so-called act of grace payments since the Australian Defence Force began operations in Iraq.

The payments are huge sums for Iraqis, with the US Agency for International Development putting the present Iraq average annual income at $1830.

There were 37 individual payments for damage and injuries resulting from car accidents, ranging from $69 to $9390. Others included payments relating to crop damage and shootings.

While brief details are provided for some of the awards, the single biggest amount of $89,100 paid out last year has not been explained.

But it is thought the sum is most likely to have been paid to the family of the bodyguard of the Iraqi Trade Minister Abdul Falah al-Sudani.

Other payments of $33,900, $14,150 and $9280 may also be related to that incident.
In true Howard fashion, Australia has not admitted wrong-doing in "that incident" (our troops opened fire on the Iraqi Trade Minister's entourage) but we are paying out compensation anyway. Not that anyone should "link" the two things, of course!

NB: The blurb above comes from News Ltd, which I try to avoid, but I have not seen it reported anywhere else yet.

I Was Paid To Post Pro-Government Comments On Blogs!

Do I detect the beginnings of a concerted MSM effort to (further) discredit blogs? The New York Times promotes a call for blogger ethics on the front page. The editors at the SMH think this is important World News. Meanwhile, WaPo's Mistah Kurtz hosts a TV cat-fight on the subject.

What's going on? Is this just more orchestrated Rove-style "noise"? Or has the blogosphere reached some organic point of evolution where such discussion has suddenly and spontaneously become mega-urgent?

Here in OzBlogistan, there actually is some evidence of the latter. John Quiggin has decided to cut the crap, imposing registration requirements at one blog and a discussion policy at another:
I’m hoping this will help to kill off spam, and also help me in troll control...

One of the reasons I’ve taken a break from this blog is that I’ve found the effort of dealing with various kinds of disruptive commenters to be more than I can justify.
Bryan at OzPolitics has also implemented a Comments Policy:
If you don’t get it, I am sick of reading the mindless partisan bickering. The funny thing is that I suspect half of you are sitting in Parliament House or party Headquarters engaged in viral marketing techniques for the next election against the other half.
Heh! What? Professional political propagandists??!? Paid blogging commentary??!! Can it be true? I once had my comments at Road To Surfdom deleted for daring to suggest that such a thing could be happening. The ever-so-gentlemanly Tim Dunlop said this amounted to crazed ranting, even though the object of my comments was himself a crazed, ranting wingnut.

Hmmn... Could it be that the rude and crude incivility of the blogosphere is largely due to paid commentary from certain persons determined to muddy the waters, sow lies and disseminate their employers' daily talking points?

Let's look at the facts. The Pentagon, the US Military, and the US State Dept freely discuss using blogs as PsyOps, while influential "thinkers" like Paul Wolfowitz rave about them (only the blogs that are carefully tailored to their agendas, of course).

It would be surprising if Aussie politicians were not likewise taking an active interest in blogs, and trying to steer online discussions towards their own advantage. We all know that pollies are keen to throw money at anything new and promising in the propaganda-catapulting arena. And don’t forget that Arthur “Good News From Iraq” Chrenkoff was a paid employee of QLD Liberal Senator Brett Mason.

NB: Still waiting for someone to chase that story down! But not surprisingly, nobody in the "real" media seems to be interested.

Methinks the latest blogger ethics hysteria is a little odd. For example, Digby compares the MSM's attitude to blogging with their fawning devotion to talkback radio:
Whatever the reason, it's quite clear that mainstream media have either ignored, pandered to or actively embraced hate radio for almost two decades now. Nary a peep has been said about the relentless, daily drumbeat of demogoguery and loathing of their fellow citizens that these talk show hosts vomit onto the public airwaves for anyone with a radio to hear...

The discourse that everyone is so shocked to see is now uncivil and "nasty" was polluted decades ago by a bunch of rich, white businessmen who saw that they could make a very nice profit at exploiting the lizard brain of the American rightwing and help their political cause at the same time. The media thought it was all in good fun (and good for their bosses) just as they do today.

We bloggers didn't make this toxic, fetid environment, we just live in it. And toxic and fetid it is. At some point the prim and proper MSM are going to have to put down the smelling salts over the uncivil blogosphere and deal with the fact that the world they enabled with their convivial chuckling and snorting at Rush and Imus over the years has brought us to this place. The rest of us are little busy fighting off the neanderthal thugs they helped create.
Interestingly, Australian talkback radio jocks Alan Jones and John Laws have both been found guilty of running paid commentary (not that it seems to have damaged their careers much).

I think there is a big story here, which is sure to come out one day. Hopefully before the next election.

UPDATE: Ms Fits reveals that she got a call from a media voice asking her opinion on this subject. I'm wondering how many others were approached, and who succumbed to the lure of MSM fame? Rupert works in mysterious ways, y'know...

3 Apr 2007

Politics, Oil Prices and Penitence

Well, here we go again, with petrol prices soaring on Easter's approach:
The president of the NRMA, Alan Evans, said people were baffled about why petrol prices rose before holidays, and could not understand why the Government did not do anything to stop it.

"It's always amazing how the price seems to increase prior to Easter and Christmas," Mr Evans said. "You can set your watches by it. I wouldn't be surprised if it creeps closer to $1.40 than $1.30."
Was it only yesterday that the Hon. Guardian Of The National Treasure Pedro Costello was issuing a stern warning to price-gouging petrol companies:
"I have asked them to continue to monitor sites and let me make it clear - if any service station proprietor wants to collude with anybody else, they're at risk of prosecution and conviction and heavy penalty."
Who is "them"? Them is the ACCC, which the Howard government long ago stripped of its independent powers to monitor petrol prices. Now they can only do so when the Hon. Guardian Of The National Treasure asks them to do so! For example, when we are six months out from an election.

Let's remember what Australian Prime Minister John Howard said on August 1st, 2006:
"I mean if anybody says there's some magical solution to the high price of petrol in Australia, will you please ring the Lodge and I'll spend an hour all-ears listening to them."
At the time, world oil prices were at all-time highs as the Bush-Cheney Oil Company Junta Inc (Int'l) guzzled down profits. Just three months later (on the exact date of the US mid-term elections, coincidentally), oil prices had falling a whopping twenty percent. If only John Howard had that kind of pulling power!!! [yes, I know all three of those URLs point to the same story: now go ahead and bloody read it!]

Cossie wasn't the only one getting quizzed about petrol prices this week. George W. Bush was also asked to explain the unusually high "gas" prices in the USA heading into Easter. And just to show you the kind of guy that I am, herewith follows a rather fullsome education for those who have no idea what the FCUK is going on in the world today. Read it, digest it if you can, and weep:
Q: Would the U.S. be willing to give up five Iranians held in Iraq if it would help persuade Iran to give up the 15 British sailors?

BUSH: I said the other day that, first of all, the seizure of the sailors is indefensible by the Iranians, and that I support the Blair government's attempts to solve this issue peacefully. So we're in close consultation with the British government.

I also strongly support the prime minister's declaration that there should be no quid pro quos when it comes to the hostages.

Q: Sir, your administration evaluated all 93 U.S. attorneys in part on the basis of loyalty; that was one of the criteria that was used.

What role should loyalty to you play in the evaluation of those charged with administering justice and enforcing the law?

BUSH: I - obviously when you name a U.S. attorney, you want somebody who can do the job. That's the most important criterion: somebody who's qualified, somebody who can get a job done.

The president names the U.S. attorneys, and the president has the right to remove U.S. attorneys.

And on this particular issue, the one you're referring to - I believe it's the current issue, of the U.S. - eight U.S. attorneys, they serve at my pleasure. They have served four-year terms. And we have every right to replace them.

(CROSSTALK)

BUSH: Let me finish, please.

I am genuinely concerned about their reputations now that this has become a Washington, D.C., focus. I'm sorry it's come to this.

On the other hand, there had been no credible evidence of any wrongdoing.

And that's what the American people have got to understand.

We had a right to remove them. We did remove them. And there have been - there will be more hearings to determine what I've just said: no credible evidence of wrongdoing.

Bill?

Q: Mr. President, a lot of the disagreement...

BUSH: Wrong Bill.

Q: Which one, him?

BUSH: No, you. The cute looking one.

Q: Thanks so much.

A lot of the disagreement, sir, over the way you're handling Iraq - disagreement from the public and Congress - stems from the belief that things are not working despite the surge. The Iraqis have met, if any, of the benchmarks that were laid down for them so far. Senator McCain walked in the Baghdad marketplace with air cover and a company of troops. But people don't believe that this can work, and they question the continued sacrifice of U.S. troops to help make it work.

BUSH: Yeah. Bill, I'm very aware that there are a group of people that don't think we should be there in the first place.

There are some who don't believe that this strategy will work.

I've listened carefully to their complaints. Obviously, I listened to these concerns prior to deciding to reinforce. This is precisely the debate we had inside the White House: Can we succeed?

I know there are some who have basically said it is impossible to succeed. I strongly disagree with those people. I believe, not only can we succeed; I know we must succeed.

And so I decided to - at the recommendation of military commanders, decided to send reinforcements.

As opposed to leaving Baghdad and watching the country go up in flames, I chose a different route, which is to send more troops into Baghdad.

And General Petraeus, who is a reasoned, sober man, says there is some progress being made. And he cites, you know, murders and, in other words, there's some calm coming to the capital.

But he also fully recognizes, as do I, it's still dangerous.

In other words, suiciders are willing to kill innocent life in order to send the projection that this is an impossible mission. The whole strategy is to give the Iraqi government time to reconcile, time to unify the country, time to respond to the demands of the 12 million people that voted.

You said the Iraqis haven't met any obligations. I would disagree with your characterization.

They have said that they will send Iraqi forces into Baghdad to take the lead, along with U.S. troops, to bring security to Baghdad. And they've done that.

They said they'd name a commander for Baghdad. They have done that.

They said they'd send up - you know, they'd send troop out into the neighborhoods to clear and hold and then build. They're doing that.

They said they would send a budget up that would spend a considerable amount of their money on reconstruction. They have done that.

They're working on an oil law that is in progress. As a matter of fact, I spoke to the prime minister yesterday about progress on the oil law.

He reminded me that sometimes the legislature doesn't do what the executive branch wants them to do. I reminded him I understand what he's talking about.

But nevertheless, I strongly agree that we've got to continue to make it clear to the Iraqi government that this is - the solution to Iraq, an Iraq that can govern itself, sustain itself and defend itself, is more than a military mission.

It's precisely the reason why I sent more troops into Baghdad: to be able to provide some breathing space for this democratically elected government to succeed. And it's hard work, and I understand it's hard work.

Secondly, as I mentioned in my opening remarks, there's only 40 percent of our troops that are there on the ground.

That's why I find it somewhat astounding that people in Congress would start calling for withdrawal even before all the troops have made it to Baghdad.

Q: Matthew Dowd, your chief campaign strategist in 2004, kind of issued a strong critique of you and your administration this weekend.

I'm wondering if you were personally stunned, and if you worry about losing support of people - of him and people like him.

BUSH: First of all, I respect Matthew. I've known him for awhile. And as you mentioned, he was an integral part of my 2004 campaign.

I have not talked to Matthew about his concerns. Nevertheless, I understand his anguish over war, understand that this is an emotional issue for Matthew as it is a lot of other people in our country.

Matthew's case, as I understand it, is obviously intensified because his son is deployable. In other words, he's got a son in the U.S. armed forces and - I mean, I can understand Matthew's concerns.

I would hope that people who share Matthew's point of view would understand my concern about what failure would mean to the security of the United States.

What I'm worried about is that we leave before the mission is done - and that is a country that is able to govern, sustain and defend itself - and that Iraq becomes a cauldron of chaos, which will embolden extremists, whether they be Shia or Sunni extremists, which would enable extremists to have safe haven from which to plot attacks on America, which could provide new resources for an enemy that wants to harm us.

And so, on the one hand, I do fully understand the anguish people go through about this war.

And it's not just Matthew. There's a lot of our citizens who are concerned about this war.

But I also hope that people will take a sober look at the consequences of failure in Iraq.

My main job is to protect the people. And I firmly believe that if we were to leave before the job is done the enemy would follow us here.

And what makes Iraq different from previous struggles is that September the 11th showed that chaos in another part of the world and/or safe haven for killers, for radicals, affects the security of the United States.

Q: Back to Iran, sir, ABC has been reporting that Iran will be capable of building a nuclear bomb within two years. Have you seen evidence that Iran is accelerating its nuclear program?

BUSH: I haven't seen the report that you just referred to.

I do share concerns about Iranian intention to have a nuclear weapon. I firmly believe that if Iran were to have a nuclear weapon, it would be a seriously destabilizing influence in the Middle East.

And therefore we have worked to build an international coalition to try to convince the Iranians to give up their weapon; to make it clear that they have choices to make, whether the choice be isolation or missed opportunity to grow their economies.

And so we take your - we take the - we take seriously the attempts of the Iranians to gain a nuclear weapon.

Q: Have you seen evidence of acceleration, though?

BUSH: You know, I'm not going to talk about any intelligence that I've seen, one way or the other.

But I do want you to know how seriously we take the Iranian nuclear issue. As a matter of fact, it is the cornerstone of our Iranian policy. It is in this - why we spend a lot of time in working with friends, allies, concerned people to rally international support, to make it clear to the Iranian people that there is a better option for them.

Now, we have no problem, no beef with the Iranian people. We value their history. We value their traditions. But their government is making some choices that will continue to isolate them and deprive them of a better economic future. So we take the issue very seriously.

Q: Mr. President, are you aware of the current price of a gallon of gas?

Can you explain why it's gone up so sharply in recent weeks?

And is there anything in the near future indicating the prices might start coming down again before the heavy summer driving season?

BUSH: About $2.60-plus.

Q: (OFF-MIKE)

BUSH: Yes...

Nationwide average. The price of gasoline obviously varies from region to region, for a variety of reasons. Some has to do with the amount of taxation at the pump. Some of it has to do with the boutique fuels that have been mandated on a state-by-state basis.

But a lot of the price of gasoline depends on the price of crude oil. And the price of crude oil is on the rise. And the price of crude oil is on the rise because people get spooked, for example, when it comes - when it looks like there may be a crisis with a crude-oil- producing nation, like Iran.

But the whole point about rising crude oil prices and rising gasoline prices is that this country ought to work hard to get off our addiction to oil.

All the more reason why Congress ought to pass the mandatory fuel standards that I set forth, which will reduce our use of gasoline by 20 percent over the next 10 years.

There's two reasons why: one is for national security concerns, and two is for environmental concerns. And I hope that we can get this done with the Congress, get it out of the Congress to my desk as quickly as possible.

Dancer. Dancing man.

That would be David Gregory. For those of you not aware, Gregory put on a show the other...

Q: Everybody's aware, Mr. President. Thank you.

BUSH: Well, maybe the listeners aren't.

Q: Yes, that's all right.

BUSH: That was a beautiful performance, seriously.

Q: Thank you. Thank you very much.

(CROSSTALK)

Q: Mr. President, you say the Democrats are undercutting troops the way they have voted. They're obviously trying to assert more concern over foreign policy.

Isn't that what the voters elected them to do in November?

BUSH: I think the voters in America want Congress to support our troops in harm - who are in harm's way. They want money to the troops.

And they don't want politicians in Washington telling our generals how to fight a war.

It's one thing to object to the policy but it's another thing, when you have troops in harm's way, not to give them the funds they need.

And no question, there's been a political dance going on here in Washington. You follow this closely; you know what I'm talking about.

Not only was there a political dance going on - in other words, people trying to appeal to one side of their party or another. But they then had to bring out new funding streams in order to attract votes to an emergency war supplemental.

And my concern is several.

One, Congress shouldn't tell generals how to run the war, Congress should not shortchange our military, Congress should not use an emergency war spending measure as a vehicle to put pet spending projects on that have nothing to do with the war.

Secondly, as I mentioned in these remarks, delays beyond mid- April and then into May will affect the readiness of the U.S. military.

So my attitude is, enough politics. They need to come back, pass a bill - if they want to play politics, fine, they continue to do that, I will veto it. But they ought to do it quickly. They ought to get to the bill to my desk as quickly as possible, and I'll veto it. And then we can get down to the business of funding our troops without strings and without withdrawal dates.

It is amazing to me that, one, the United States Senate passed a - confirmed General Petraeus overwhelmingly after he testified as to what he thinks is necessary to succeed in Iraq, and then won't fund him.

Secondly, I - we have put 40 percent of the reinforcements in place. And yet people already want to start withdrawing before the mission has had a chance to succeed.

And they need to come off their vacation, get a bill to my desk. And if it's got strings and mandates and withdrawals and pork, I'll veto it and then we can get down to business of getting this thing done.

And we can do it quickly. It doesn't have to take a lot of time. And we get the bill, get the troops funded and we go about our business of winning this war.

Q: On climate change and the decision that was issued yesterday by the U.S. Supreme Court, what's your reaction to that decision?

And don't you think that this makes some kind of broad caps on greenhouse gas emissions more or less inevitable?

BUSH: I - first of all, the decision the Supreme Court is - we take very seriously. It's the new law of the land.

And secondly, we're taking some time to fully understand the details of the decision.

As you know, this decision was focused on emissions that come from automobiles. My attitude is that we have laid out a plan that will affect greenhouse gases that come from automobiles by having a mandatory fuel standard that insists on 35 - using 35 billion gallons of alternative fuels by 2017, which will reduce our gasoline uses by 20 percent and halt the growth in greenhouse gases that emanate from automobiles.

In other words, there is a remedy available for Congress. And I strongly hope that they pass this remedy quickly.

In terms of the broader issue, I - first of all, I've taken this issue very seriously. You know, I have said that it is a serious problem. I recognize that man is contributing greenhouse gases, that - but here are the principles by which I think we can get a good deal.

One, anything that happens cannot hurt economic growth. It's - and I say that because, one, I care about the working people of the country, but also because in order to solve greenhouse gas - the greenhouse gas issue over a longer period of time, it's going to require new technologies, which tend to be expensive. And it's easier to afford expensive technologies if you're prosperous.

BUSH: Secondly, whatever we do, must be in concert what happens - with what happens internationally. Because we can pass any number of measures that are now being discussed in the Congress, but unless there is an accord with China, China will produce greenhouse gases that will offset anything we do in a brief period of time.

And so those are the principles that will guide our decision-making: How do you encourage new technology? How do you grow the economy? And how do you make sure that China is - and India - are a part of a - you know, a rational solution?

Q: Since General Pace made his comments - they got a lot of attention - about homosexuality, we haven't heard from you on that issue.

Do you, sir, believe that homosexuality is immoral?

BUSH: I - I - I will not be rendering judgment about individual orientation.

I do believe the don't ask/don't tell policy is good policy.

Sammon, yes.

Q: Thank you, Mr. President.

BUSH: You're standing out there. I can see you.

Q: When Congress has linked war funding with a timetable, you have argued micromanagement. When they've linked it to unrelated spending, you've argued pork barrel.

But now there's talk from Harry Reid and others that if you veto this bill, they might come back and just simply cut off funding.

Wouldn't that be a legitimate exercise of a congressional authority, which is the power of the purse?

BUSH: The - the Congress is exercising its legitimate authority as it sees fit right now. I just disagree with their decisions. I think setting an artificial timetable for withdrawal is a significant mistake. It is - it sends mixed signals and bad signals to the region and to the Iraqi citizens.

Listen, the Iraqis are wondering whether or not we're going to stay to help. People in America wonder whether or not they've got the political will to do the hard work. That's what Plante was asking about. In my conversations with President Maliki, he seems dedicated to doing that.

And we will continue to work with him to achieve those objectives.

But they're wondering whether or not, you know, America is going to keep commitments. So when they hear withdrawal and timetables and, you know, it, rightly so, sends different kinds of signals.

The - it's interesting that Harry Reid - Leader Reid spoke out with a different option.

Whatever option they choose, I would hope they'd get home, get a bill and get it to my desk. And if it has artificial timetables of withdrawal or if it cuts off funding for troops or if it tells our generals how to run a war, I'll veto it.

And then we can get about the business of giving our troops what they need, what the - what our generals want them to have, and give our generals the flexibility necessary to achieve the objectives that we set out by reinforcing troops in Iraq.

You know, what's interesting is, you don't hear a lot of debate about Washington as to what will happen if there is failure. Again, Plante mentioned that people don't think we can succeed. You know, in other words, there's no chance of succeeding. That's a part of the debate.

But what people also have got to understand is what will happen if we fail. And the way you fail is to leave before the job is done; in other words, just abandon this young democracy, say we're tired, that we'll withdraw from Baghdad and hope there's not chaos.

I believe that if this capital city were to fall into chaos - which is where it was headed prior to reinforcing - that there'd be no chance for this young democracy to survive. That's why I made the decision I made.

And the reason why I believe it's important to help this young democracy survive is so that the country has a chance to become a stabilizing influence in a dangerous part of the world.

I also understand that if the country - if the experience were to fail, radicals would be emboldened, people that had been - that can't stand America would find, you know, new ways to recruit, there would be, potentially, additional resources for them to use at their disposal.

The failure in Iraq would endanger American security.

I have told the American people often, it is best to defeat them there so we don't have to face them here, fully recognizing that what happens over there can affect the security here. And that's one of the major lessons of September the 11th.

In that case, there was safe haven found in a failed state, where killers plotted and planted - planned and trained, and came and killed 3,000 of our citizens. And I vowed we weren't going to let that happen again.

Secondly, the way to defeat the ideology that these people believe is through a competing ideology, one based upon liberty and human rights and human dignity.

And there are some who, I guess, say that's impossible to happen in the Middle East.

I strongly disagree.

I know it is hard work. I believe it is necessary work to secure this country in the long run.

Q: The conservative newspaper columnist Robert Novak recently wrote that, in 50 years of covering Washington, he's never seen a president more isolated than you are right now.

What do you say to critics like Novak who say that you are more isolated now than Richard Nixon was during Watergate?

BUSH: How did he define isolated ?

Q: He said you were isolated, primarily, from your own party; that Republican leaders on the Hill were privately telling him that on the Gonzales matter in particular you're very isolated.

BUSH: I think you're going to find that the White House and the Hill are going to work in close collaboration, starting with this supplemental.

When I announced that I will veto a bill with - that withdrew our troops, that set artificial timetables for withdrawal or micromanaged the war, the Republicans strongly supported that message.

I think you'll find us working together on energy. They know what I know: that dependence on oil will affect the long-term national security of the country.

We'll work together on No Child Left Behind.

We'll work together on immigration reform.

We will work together, most importantly, on budget to make sure this budget gets balanced without raising taxes.

The other day the Democrats submitted budgets that raise taxes on the working people in order to increase the amount of money they have available for spending. That is a place where the Republicans and this president are going to work very closely together. I adamantly oppose tax increases, and so do the majority of members in the United States Congress.

Q: Mr. President, good morning. You've talked about...

BUSH: Good morning. Good morning. That's a good way to start.

Q: You've talked about the consequences of failure in Iraq. And you've said that the enemies would follow us home.

I wonder, given that it seems like that's not exactly a ringing endorsement of people who are charged with the responsibility of keeping America safe, so...

BUSH: What was that again?

Q: Well, you say that the enemies would follow us home. If...

BUSH: I will. That's what they did. Just like September the 11th. They plotted, planned and attacked.

Q: But I wonder in your own mind, how does that vision play out? How do they follow us home? Because we've spent so much money and put so much resource into making this country safe.

BUSH: They - I'm not going to predict to you the methodology they'll use. Just you need to know they want to hit us again.

And we - we do everything we can here at the homeland to protect us.

That's why I've got a Homeland Security Department. That's why we are, you know, inconveniencing air traffickers, to make sure nobody is carrying weapons on airplanes.

That's why we need border enforcement, with a comprehensive immigration bill, by the way, to make sure it's easier to enforce the border.

I mean, we're doing a lot. That's why we need to make sure our intelligence services coordinate information together better.

So we spend a lot of time trying to protect this country. But if they were ever to have safe haven, it would make the efforts much harder. That's my point.

We cannot let them have safe haven again. The lesson of September 11th is, if these killers are able to find safe haven from which to plot, plan and attack, they will do so.

So I don't know what methodology they'll use. We're - we're - we're planning for the worst. We cover all fronts. And it's hard to protect a big country like this.

And I applaud those who are - who have done a fantastic job of protecting us since September the 11th.

But make no mistake about it: There's still an enemy that would like to do us harm. And I believe, whether it be in Afghanistan or in Iraq or anywhere else, if these enemies are able to find safe haven, it will endanger the lives of our fellow citizens.

I also understand that - that the best way to defeat them in the long run is to show people in the Middle East, for example, that there is a better alternative to tyrannical societies, to societies that don't meet the hopes and aspirations of the average people. And that is through a society that is based upon the universal concept of liberty.

Iraq is a very important part of securing the homeland. And it's a very important part of helping change the Middle East into a part of the world that will not serve as a threat to the civilized world, to people like - or to the developed world, to people like in the United States.

So thank you all very much for your interest. I hope you have a nice holiday. Appreciate it.

2 Apr 2007

Howard's Grey Army Is Wilting Away

The word cohort derives from the Latin word for one of the ten divisions in an ancient Roman legion. Apparently that is how John Winston Howard (PM) sees his elderly supporters, and they are clearly NOT doing enough for the cause right about now. In fact, they seem to be wandering off the reservation:
"If everybody worked at least until they were in their middle to late 60s, that would make an enormous difference," Mr Howard, who turns 68 this year, told ABC radio.

"The big problem Australia's had is far too many people retire at 55.

"Until quite recently, that cohort of 55-64 in Australia was less in work ... than comparable cohorts in other relevant countries."
Some of these old bludgers are not just quitting the workforce, but also experiencing life-changing "sea changes" in their attitudes. Some of them are just walking away from their generation's WWII Menzies mindset, which has served us all so well for the past decade.

And can it be that the PM himself is starting to see a light at the end of the tunnel? Whispers of mortality? Hints of other-wordly visions? No! Never!
"There are many, many people I know who have retired after a very, very busy life and suddenly they're doing nothing, and they go to pieces," he said.

"They are used to being relevant and useful and then all of a sudden they find they're not.

"People ought to stay in the workforce longer, perhaps work part-time."
Hey, great idea! Let's have a part-time PM! This one has been far, far too full-time! Just look at all those nightly TV "running commentaries" on everything from Ian Thorpe's drug habit to Dawn Fraser's undergarments. We've all had a gutful of it!

Asked about his own plans for retirement, Mr Howard was unusually coy:
"I'm sure I'll have plenty of other things to do (in retirement)," Mr Howard said.

"I don't have a boat but I'm quite sure that there'll be things I can find to do.
Oh, yeah. I'm sure Rupert and the boys at the Carlyle Club will be able to think of something. In fact, I'll wager Howard knows exactly what he wants to do, including some exhaustive (four volumes? five?) semi-autobiographical works, a right-wing think-tank named in his honour, statues on Parliament Hill and in Martin Place, and a new prime-ministerial library on the shores of Lake Burley Griffin.

And, of course, lots and lots and lots of military parades! Hurrah!

Perhaps Mr Howard might soon have more time to ponder the words of his favourite singer (I kid you not):
Gonna sleep down in the parlour
And re-live my dreams
I close my eyes and I wonder
If everything is as hollow as it seems

Oz Politics Blog

Is moving to Wordpress and temporarily relocated here. Bryan says his next project will be a 2007 elections guide.

I thought he had shut the whole site down after being miffed by my criticism last week! Heh.

UPDATE: Bryan has added Howard Out to his list of blogs - thanks!

1 Apr 2007

Hicks Will Go Free... But Not Now

Well, that sure explains what Cheney and Howard were talking about over their weekend BBQ in February. WaPo reveals that the deal was hammered out between Major Mori and Susan J. Crawford, the Defence Department's top military commission official, who just happens to have been Dick Cheney's inspector general from 1989 to 1991, when Cheney was defense secretary.

What more can you say about this utterly disgraceful farce? Robert Richter, QC, one of Australia's most experienced criminal lawyers, says the trial was a sham that had wholly discredited the Pentagon's war-crimes process:
"The charade that took place at Guantanamo Bay would have done Stalin's show trials proud. First there was indefinite detention without charge. Then there was the torture, however the Bush lawyers, including his attorney-general, might choose to describe it. Then there was the extorted confession of guilt."
Even US Defence Secretary, Robert Gates (Rummy v2.0) says the verdict will lack credibility because of the reputation of Guantanamo around the world.

Elsewhere, Aussie Bob has a good post with an interesting query about what happens when and if Hicks repudiates his guilty plea.

Here's another thought: what happens when (inevitably) one of the Gitmo detainees challenges the legality of these v2.0 military tibunals and sends the whole process back to the US Supreme Court, who previously ruled v1.0 illegal?

It is 99% certain that the Supremes will reassert their verdict (little has changed since v1.0), in which case Hicks' entire plea bargain deal will be rendered legally obsolete and any prisoner exchange deal with the US government will fall apart, given that said prisoner cannot legally be detained any longer under US law.

What will the Australian government do then? Re-arrest Hicks and send him back to Gitmo?

Who cares, right? As long as it doesn't happen till after the next election!

Might be interesting to watch Four Corners tonight: David Hicks: The Untried Case.

UPDATE: Malcolm "Me Next" Turnbull dives head-first into the trough:
"Whether he was a foot soldier or more important than that, none the less he was definitely working with the terrorists who were seeking to destroy our civilisation," he said.

"Given those circumstances I've always wondered [about] his failure to get a deal done, and the apparent lack of interest on his lawyers' part to get a deal done.

"I've often wondered what their motivations were there."
What a wanker! The implication is clear. Turnbull is actually suggesting that Mori and other Hicks lawyers were working with the terrorists to "destroy our civilisation"!